Hmm, just had a thought, how I'm leaking a lot of intel about my sleep patterns via toots, but then remembered git commits are 100x more revealing.
Wanted: date-time fuzzer for git repos that keeps chronological order but adds ±18 hours randomly to commits that haven't been pushed. Put that in a push git hook.
Web Developer Achievement unlocked: introduced the team to https://http.cat
Second night fighting with generalized Beta of the first kind random variables, Monte Carlo weighting, and integrals.
Analysis seems to be checking out (not a precision problem, tried two math libraries, doesn't seem to be a typo error), but yields with incorrect results in certain regimes (correct in others), whereas Monte Carlo works in all regimes. Where's the problem?
The challenge will remain productivity—fast time to shipping projects and features. Worth investigating.
Myerhoff here is saying, I think, that the raindance's job isn't to make the rain fall, as we might uncharitably think about our forebears: it's job is to address and alleviate the social strife caused by drought. The afflicted get together and say, "we've done the raindance: we acknowledge the problem, we aver to help each other out in this time of hardship, let us be good to each other".
My caricature of raindancers is, like all instances of me looking down on people, misguided.
“No primitive society is so unempirical as to expect to cause rain by dancing a rain dance; the very fact that the ritual has been properly conducted is enough to alter or alleviate those socially generated tensions underlying the enactment in the first place. Subsequent rainmaking rituals may have to be held if no rain is immediately forthcoming, but to say that a ritual’s efficacy depends entirely on some change in the atmosphere or environment overlooks the social dimension of ritual.”
You forget so much. You forget you thought the same things long ago.
Then you see what changed.
Today I throw down #TypeScript fearlessly and lean heavily on types. This was a good change.
https://github.com/fasiha/mastodon-backup-to-markdown-threads see the top of json2threads.js for usage instructions while I write a proper README
I threw together some throw-away code to take the JSON file dumped by @kensanata's Mastodon Archive tool and spit out Markdown files for each of my toot threads.
Went looking for an old thread I knew I'd written (about the resurgence of priesthood as a profession on the internet) and recognized that not just Mastodon UI but also my fancy journaling app tend to obfuscate recurring currents in my thinking.
So I'm seeing if I can group my 739 threads into a handful of themes.
I think about Vulcan and Neptune every time I need to get a grip on how hard Science is, how much belief people put in it (too much), and how many are getting tired of its monopoly on explaining the natural world.
We need to learn as a society to live with both Vulcans (chem trails, flat earths) and Neptunes (climate change, gender fluidity).
We’ve ignored the difference for decades thanks to a kind of social Moore’s Law, but can’t any more because the Vulcans of the world got too much power.
See my toot thread from over a year ago:
"With the internet, anyone can be a priest/priestess again."
'[Pizzagate] exists in the same universe as the Tuskegee experiments, redlining and the Iran-Contra Affair. “I have this conspiracy that Western governments are involved in an international spying ring [Wikipedia link to Edward Snowden],” Wood said. “Before about 2014 that would have made you a conspiracy theorist. Now we know it’s true.”'
The tools we have to detect conspiracy theories are extremely error prone. Media literacy, scientific literacy, none of these things discredits conspiracies.
"It might be harder to think of an emotionally tinged event that didn’t provoke a conspiracy theory than it is to rattle off a list of the ones that did."
"Feeling a lack of control over various aspects of life, a tendency toward paranoid thinking, failure to understand and use statistics and probabilistic reasoning—all those things correlate with belief in ghosts and slot-machine prowess as much as with belief in the Illuminati."
"Conspiracy Theories Can’t Be Stopped" https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/conspiracy-theories-cant-be-stopped/