“I see Kahneman’s and Taleb’s critiques as the strongest challenges to the notion of superforecasting.” —Tetlock and Gardner, *Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction*
Specifically, Kahneman’s doubt that cognitive biases can be reliably-enough overcome, and Taleb’s that only inconsequential predictions can be made with any accuracy.
If that’s it, superforecasting is in good shape, enough to make money :)