Y—yes, this is good, this is very good:
"Edge Master Class 2015 with Philip Tetlock—A Short Course in Superforecasting"
https://www.edge.org/conversation/philip_tetlock-edge-master-class-2015-a-short-course-in-superforecasting-class-i (1 of 5! very long transcripts)
I love Phil Tetlock's work because
1. it invites deep thinking, then
2. it invites deep action, then go to #1.
Tetlock's research and writings are making me start to make bets, set up news alerts, set up automatic trading algorithms, etc. Action! Too much reading makes you a dull couch potato, just like too much TV.