And those war “statistics” may ignore things like the Rwandan and Guatemalan civil wars (where hundreds of thousands of lives were lost). That might be why Tetlock cites civil wars separately from “regular” wars, the former having only started “declining” (presumably in a linear regression sense?) since the 1990s. The nineties! Thirty years of declining civil wars! They’re well on their way to extinction! 😖😫🙄