“interstate wars have been declining since the 1950s and civil wars have been declining since the end of the Cold War in the early 1990s. This is reflected in the number of battle deaths per year, which, with a few blips, declined throughout the period.” —Tetlock/Gardner.

What absolute balderdash. Pure high-grade fertilizer 💩. Tetlock really should know better than incoming this pernicious Pinker thesis but alas, even a researcher on analytical thinking has to fail sometimes.