@clew I think historians are a rascally bunch: they’ve trained us to want big picture stories about the past and the future—“how does it all turn out?” That’s not a clairvoyance-complete question of course, and it’s hopelessly mired in hindsight bias.

I want to instead start seeing the past and the future through clairvoyant-complete questions—exactly prescribe the set of possibilities I can grok (and change that set as time passes), and do a lot of research into what was and is knowable.