@clew I’ve been reading Phil Tetlock's book Superforecasting and his 5-part masterclass on Edge.org and he talks about the importance of good questions as a key prerequisite to good forecasts, specifically questions that pass the clairvoyance test:
Which means questions can be handed off to an oracle who can answer yes/no without having to ask you what you mean by “is” or other words 😛. I’m interested in finding clairvoyant-ok questions about Chinese political futures.